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Revenue Forecast Calculator

Project your MRR and ARR growth month by month. Model the impact of growth rates and churn on your SaaS revenue over 6-24 months.

6 months24 months

How Revenue Forecasting Works

1

Enter Current MRR

Input your current monthly recurring revenue as the starting point for your forecast.

2

Set Growth & Churn

Define your monthly growth rate and churn rate to model realistic revenue trajectories.

3

View Forecast

Get a month-by-month breakdown of MRR growth, churned revenue, and projected ARR.

Revenue Forecast Formulas

New MRR (per month):

New MRR = Previous MRR x Growth Rate

Churned MRR (per month):

Churned MRR = Previous MRR x Churn Rate

Ending MRR (per month):

Ending MRR = Starting MRR + New MRR - Churned MRR

Why Revenue Forecasting Matters for Startups

Revenue forecasting is the foundation of every financial decision at an early-stage company. Whether you are planning headcount, setting fundraising timelines, or deciding when to invest in marketing, having a reliable MRR projection is non-negotiable. Without it, you are flying blind.

The most common mistake founders make is forecasting with a flat growth rate and ignoring churn entirely. In reality, a 10% monthly growth rate combined with 5% monthly churn produces very different results than 10% growth with 2% churn. Over 12 months, the difference compounds to hundreds of thousands in projected ARR. Our revenue forecast guide for early-stage startups walks through this in detail.

Cash flow is the other side of the coin. A revenue forecast tells you what is coming in, but you also need to understand what is going out. Use our cash flow forecast example to build a complete financial picture alongside your revenue model.

For investors, your revenue forecast is a signal of how well you understand your business. A founder who can clearly articulate their growth rate assumptions, churn dynamics, and resulting ARR trajectory inspires confidence. Pair this calculator with the runway calculator to show investors exactly how long your current capital will last at your projected growth rate, or use the burn rate calculator to model different spending scenarios against your forecasted revenue.

Net MRR growth — the difference between new revenue added and revenue lost to churn — is the single most important number in your forecast. If your net growth is positive, your business is compounding. If it is negative, no amount of new customer acquisition will save you. Focus on the ratio between growth and churn, and use this tool to stress-test your assumptions before committing to a plan.

Frequently Asked Questions

How do I forecast SaaS revenue?

Start with your current MRR and apply your monthly growth rate (new revenue from customers) and churn rate (revenue lost from cancellations) each month. For each period: Ending MRR = Starting MRR + (Starting MRR x Growth Rate) - (Starting MRR x Churn Rate). Repeat for 12-24 months. This compound model is more accurate than linear projections because it reflects how SaaS revenue actually behaves — growth and churn both operate on the existing base, creating exponential effects over time.

What monthly growth rate should I use?

For pre-seed and seed-stage SaaS, 15-20% monthly MRR growth is a strong target. Series A companies often see 10-15% monthly growth. More mature companies (Series B+) typically grow at 5-10% monthly. These are median benchmarks — the top decile grows significantly faster. Use your actual trailing 3-month average growth rate for the most accurate forecast, rather than aspirational targets. If you are pre-revenue, model multiple scenarios (conservative, base, optimistic) to stress-test your assumptions.

How does churn affect revenue forecasts?

Churn compounds against you the same way growth compounds for you. A 5% monthly churn rate means you lose roughly 46% of your revenue annually if no new customers are added. Even small differences in churn have massive long-term effects: reducing monthly churn from 5% to 3% over 12 months can mean the difference between 2x and 3x ARR growth. This is why retention is often a higher-leverage investment than acquisition. Model different churn scenarios in this calculator to see the compounding impact firsthand.

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