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LTD vs Subscription Revenue Calculator

Compare lifetime deal revenue against monthly subscription revenue over time. See exactly when recurring subscriptions overtake one-time LTD sales.

LTD vs Subscription Inputs

1%5%10%15%

Subscriptions Overtake LTDs

Month 5

Subscription revenue surpasses LTD revenue at month 5

Total LTD Revenue

$19,900

Cumulative Sub Revenue

$82,538

after 36 months

Break-even Month

Month 5

Revenue Difference

+$62,638

sub vs LTD at end

Cumulative Revenue Comparison

Month 1
LTD
$19,900
Sub
$4,900
Month 4
LTD
$19,900
Sub
$18,178
Month 7
LTD
$19,900
Sub
$29,563
Month 10
LTD
$19,900
Sub
$39,324
Month 13
LTD
$19,900
Sub
$47,692
Month 16
LTD
$19,900
Sub
$54,868
Month 19
LTD
$19,900
Sub
$61,019
Month 22
LTD
$19,900
Sub
$66,294
Month 25
LTD
$19,900
Sub
$70,816
Month 28
LTD
$19,900
Sub
$74,693
Month 31
LTD
$19,900
Sub
$78,017
Month 34
LTD
$19,900
Sub
$80,867
Month 36
LTD
$19,900
Sub
$82,538
Lifetime Deal Revenue
Subscription Revenue

Month-by-Month Comparison

MonthLTD TotalSub MonthlySub CumulativeDifference
1$19,900$4,900$4,900-$15,000
2$19,900$4,655$9,555-$10,345
3$19,900$4,422$13,977-$5,923
4$19,900$4,201$18,178-$1,722
5$19,900$3,991$22,169+$2,269
6$19,900$3,792$25,961+$6,061
7$19,900$3,602$29,563+$9,663
8$19,900$3,422$32,985+$13,085
9$19,900$3,251$36,236+$16,336
10$19,900$3,088$39,324+$19,424
11$19,900$2,934$42,258+$22,358
12$19,900$2,787$45,045+$25,145
13$19,900$2,648$47,692+$27,792
14$19,900$2,515$50,208+$30,308
15$19,900$2,390$52,597+$32,697
16$19,900$2,270$54,868+$34,968
17$19,900$2,157$57,024+$37,124
18$19,900$2,049$59,073+$39,173
19$19,900$1,946$61,019+$41,119
20$19,900$1,849$62,868+$42,968
21$19,900$1,757$64,625+$44,725
22$19,900$1,669$66,294+$46,394
23$19,900$1,585$67,879+$47,979
24$19,900$1,506$69,385+$49,485
25$19,900$1,431$70,816+$50,916
26$19,900$1,359$72,175+$52,275
27$19,900$1,291$73,466+$53,566
28$19,900$1,227$74,693+$54,793
29$19,900$1,165$75,858+$55,958
30$19,900$1,107$76,965+$57,065
31$19,900$1,052$78,017+$58,117
32$19,900$999$79,016+$59,116
33$19,900$949$79,965+$60,065
34$19,900$902$80,867+$60,967
35$19,900$857$81,724+$61,824
36$19,900$814$82,538+$62,638

Lifetime deals can fuel early growth but cap long-term revenue. Compare pricing models with our pricing strategy calculator and see how annual vs monthly billing affects your revenue. Learn more about discount tradeoffs in our SaaS discount strategy guide.

How LTD vs Subscription Revenue Is Calculated

1

Enter Your Pricing

Input your lifetime deal price, number of LTDs sold, and monthly subscription price.

2

Set Churn Rate

Adjust the monthly churn rate to model how subscriber attrition affects cumulative revenue.

3

Find the Break-even

See exactly which month subscription revenue overtakes LTD revenue and by how much.

Revenue Comparison Formulas

Total LTD Revenue:

LTD Revenue = LTD Price x Number of LTDs Sold

Monthly Subscription Revenue:

Monthly Sub Revenue = Active Subscribers x Monthly Price

Subscriber Decay (with churn):

Active Subscribers(month N) = Initial Customers x (1 - Churn Rate)^N

Example: 100 LTDs at $199 vs $49/mo Subscriptions

A SaaS company sells 100 lifetime deals at $199 each. Alternatively, those same 100 customers could pay $49/month with 5% monthly churn:

36-Month Comparison

LTD price$199
Number of customers100
Total LTD revenue$19,900
Monthly subscription price$49
Monthly churn rate5%
Cumulative sub revenue (36 months)$18,824
Break-even monthMonth 5

Even with 5% monthly churn, subscriptions generate comparable cumulative revenue to LTDs within the first year and continue generating revenue indefinitely. Use our churn revenue impact calculator to model how churn affects your subscription revenue over time.

Who This Calculator Is For

SaaS Founders

Decide whether to run a lifetime deal campaign or focus on subscription growth. Quantify the long-term revenue tradeoff before committing.

Pricing Strategists

Model different LTD price points and subscription tiers to find the optimal balance between upfront cash and recurring revenue.

Investors

Evaluate whether a company's LTD-heavy revenue model is sustainable or if it masks weak subscription economics.

Frequently Asked Questions

When do subscription customers become more valuable than lifetime deal buyers?

It depends on your LTD price, monthly subscription price, and churn rate. With a $199 LTD and $49/mo subscription at 5% churn, subscriptions overtake LTD revenue around month 5. Lower churn rates accelerate the crossover point. Use our pricing strategy calculator to optimize your pricing tiers.

What churn rate makes lifetime deals a better choice?

When monthly churn exceeds roughly 10-15%, the subscriber base erodes so quickly that LTD revenue can remain higher over a 36-month period. At very high churn rates, the upfront cash from LTDs may be the safer bet. Check your rates against churn revenue impact benchmarks.

Should I offer lifetime deals during launch?

LTDs can be a powerful launch strategy for generating upfront cash and early user feedback. However, you are trading long-term recurring revenue for short-term capital. Consider capping the number of LTDs sold and setting a clear end date. Model the tradeoff with our discount impact calculator.

How do I calculate the true cost of a lifetime deal customer?

The true cost includes the LTD price received minus ongoing hosting, support, and infrastructure costs for that customer over their entire lifetime. If a customer costs $5/month to serve and uses the product for 5 years, that is $300 in costs against a one-time payment. Factor in your burn rate to understand the full picture.

Can I offer both lifetime deals and subscriptions?

Yes. Many SaaS companies run limited-time LTD campaigns alongside their subscription model. The key is to cap LTD availability so it does not cannibalize subscription revenue long-term. Use LTDs for early adopters and transition to subscriptions for growth. Compare billing approaches with our annual vs monthly billing calculator.

Track All Your Revenue Streams

Monitor LTD revenue, subscription MRR, and churn across all your business entities in one dashboard.